Basic Forex Trading Strategy
Technical analysis and fundamental analysis are the two basic areas of Forex trading
strategy in the FOREX market which is the exact same as in the equity markets. However, technical analysis is by
far the most common strategy that is used by individual FOREX traders.
Here is a brief overview of both forms of analysis and how they directly apply to forex trading:
Fundamental Analysis
If you think it's hard enough to value one company, you should try valuing a whole country instead. Fundamental
analysis in the forex market is often an extremely difficult one, and it's usually used only as a means to predict
long-term trends. However it is important to mention that some traders do trade short term strictly on news
releases. There are a lot of different fundamental indicators of the currency values released at many different
times. Here are a few of them to get you started:
- Non-farm Payrolls
- Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)
- Consumer Price Index (CPI)
- Retail Sales
- Durable Goods
You need to know that these reports are not the only fundamental factors that you have to watch. There are also
quite a variety of meetings where you can get some quotes and commentary that can affect markets just as much as
any report. These meetings are often brought out to discuss any interest rates, inflation, and other issues that
have the ability to affect currency values.
Even changes in how things are worded when addressing certain issues such as the Federal Reserve chairman's
comments on interest rates; can cause a volatile market. Two important meetings that you have to watch out for are
the Federal Open Market Committee and Humphrey Hawkins Hearings.
Just by reading the reports and examining the commentary, it can help FOREX fundamental analysts to get a better
understanding of any and all long-term market trends and also to allow short-term traders to be able to profit from
extraordinary happenings. If you do decide to follow a fundamental strategy, you will want to be sure to keep an
economic calendar handy at all times so you know when these reports are released. Your broker may also be able to
provide you with real-time access to this kind of information.
Technical Analysis
Just like their counterparts in the equity markets, technical analysts of the FOREX trading market analyze price
trends. The only real difference between technical analysis in FOREX and technical analysis in equities is the time
frame that is involved in that FOREX markets are open 24 hours a day.
Because of this, some forms of technical analysis that factor in time have to be modified so that they can work
with the 24 hour FOREX market. Some of the most common forms of technical analysis used in FOREX are:
- The Elliott Waves
- Fibonacci studies
- Parabolic SAR
- Pivot points
A lot of technical analysts have a tendency to combine technical studies to make more accurate predictions on
your behalf. (The most common method for them is combining the Fibonacci studies with Elliott Waves.) Others prefer
to create trading systems in an effort to repeatedly locate similar buying and selling conditions.
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